09 February 2010

About Iran

When you boil the Iranian nuclear issue down, you find the question we have posed before. Do you want war with Iran or do you want to allow Iran to have nuclear weapons? A war with Iran could make Afghanistan and Iraq look like the WWF. Afghanistan barely had electricity and running water and Iraq was barely any better off. While I think the general population or Iran would support a regime change there, you have to know any action would play right into Ahmadinejad's rhetoric and he is much better organized.

Officials from the United States, France and Russia said Monday serious
measures should be taken against Iran
after the country informed the UN nuclear
agency of its plans to enrich uranium to 20 percent purity for a medical
research reactor in Tehran. The countries had hoped to keep a dormant proposal,
backed by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), alive and take the bulk
of Iran's low enriched uranium for further refinement, turn it into special
metal fuel rods, and then return it to the country during a lengthy process for
a hefty price. Iran made counterproposals to facilitate an agreement but the
other side lacked flexibility and the Obama administration threatened that
punishment would await the Tehran government should the deal fail to go through.

After months of delay, Iran's president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, on
Sunday decided to produce the 20 percent enriched uranium domestically while the
negotiations remain open.

However, the move threw officials in the West into a frenzy and a barrage
of criticism followed as Israel, which has miraculously managed to contain its
warmongering since the conclusion of the 2008 Gaza invasion in early 2009,
called for "a determined campaign of decisive and permanent sanctions against

However, sanctions have proven not to work. Iran will procure anything they need through other sources such as Dubai.

Israel must be going out of their collective mind at this point. In a report today on Debka, Tehran's actions are prompted by the "limp" Western response.

Tehran's decision to raise its uranium enrichment level to 20 percent -
taking it weeks away from weapons-grade production - in the teeth of
international objections, has raised no cries of outrage in Washington or
. Asked Monday, Feb. 7, whether president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's
announcement brought military action any closer, US defense secretary Robert
Gates said noncommittally: "If the international community will stand together
and bring pressure to bear on the Iranian government, I believe there is still
time for pressure and sanctions to work."

Gates pretended not to notice that the "international community" is deeply
divided on this issue, with China and some European governments rooting against
sanctions and Russia likely to join them. Tehran can therefore safely move
forward without fear of the international community standing together on
pressure.The reaction from Jerusalem was even more flaccid: The Prime minister's
office stated that that when Binyamin Netanyahu travelled to Moscow next week,
he would raise the Iranian nuclear issue and sanctions and ask the Russians to
continue to withhold the S-300 defense missile from Iran. No comment was heard
on Tehran's leap onto a higher level of uranium enrichment, or the fact that the
fuel rods Moscow delivered two years for Iran's atomic reactor at Bushehr
enabled the Islamic Republic to go into home-production of high-grade uranium
fuel. The West had plenty of time to do - or at least, say something, because
Ahmadinejad gave advance warning of the enrichment hike three weeks ago. On Jan. 14, he promised "good news" about 20 percent enriched uranium to mark the
celebrations of Iran's revolution Feb. 1-11. Not only was nothing done to deter the Iranian president, but he was allowed to infer that Washington, Jerusalem and the Western powers no longer stand in the way of Iran's progress step by accelerated step towards a nuclear weapon, or challenge its president's posture as nuclear hero of the Muslim world, brave enough to defy America.

When discussions over this issue are brought up in Congress, some if not many, will question if a war with Iran is something we can afford. My fear is that we may not have a choice.

No comments: